Tagged: Iran Deal Toggle Comment Threads | Keyboard Shortcuts

  • Masoud Dalvand 7:15 pm on 7 Jun 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Iran Deal, , , , ,   

    Three political crises in the Iranian regime and Khamenei’s response with three blank cartridge bullets 

    Three political crises in the Iranian regime and Khamenei's response with three blank cartridge bullets

    By Masoud Dalvand

    Multi shot with blank cartridge bullets on the anniversary of Khomeini’s death!

    Khamenei went to Qom to commemorate the anniversary of Khomeini’s death, pointing out a number of key issues of the regime that the mullahs are confronted with, in a very brief speech referring to various issues.

    Khamenei paid three issues;

    First, the continuation of the uprising and protest movements that are happening every day throughout the country and becoming more and more day after day.

    Secondly, the issue of Iran deal and anger and dissatisfaction with the situation that Khamenei has tried in this regard, in light of his own situation, to exonerate himself and to blame “mullah Rouhani” and his gang.

     

     

     

     

    Third, the issue of the missile program and the regional interference of the mullahs, which these days, under the international pressure, smells of the region’s evacuation from the regime more than ever!

    In fact, these three issues are the most serious problems of the regime at the moment, and the success or failure of the regime depends on the answers that must be given to three issues.

    The uprising and protests of the people

    Regarding the uprising and protests, Khamenei’s words remained the same as the absurdity of all the dictators who repeatedly repeat it and, by imposing protesting people and basically every protest movement outside the borders, try to denying the national identity of the protests and protesters and say that it’s illegitimate, of course in the political culture of the mullahs by putting off a terrorist label to any protest movement!

    At the same time, the mullahs are trying to prevent the movement of people’s protest movements from being violent (which is the natural reaction of the people to government repression), in any case.

    In this speech, Khamenei, referring to the MEK and It’s role in recent popular movements, said that:

    “We know that they are sitting and planning! »

    Khamenei, unable to suppress the uprising of the people and unable to solve the problems of the country, only repeats the same previous exhortation, saying that there are a handful of small and few people coming from other cities and provoking people.

    Khamenei, of course, did not mention why, in this country, every simple protest of a guild immediately turns into a political and security crisis, and a political slogan directly pointing to the regime’s head. And thus, he left the first important point in his speech without any determine of issues, and went with the same slogans and shotted to the next goal.

     

    The reality of the resumption of the nuclear activities of the regime

     The next point that Khamenei said in his speech on the occasion of the anniversary of Khomeini’s death was the issuance of a decree on the resumption of the nuclear activities of the regime.

    Khamenei ordered the preparation to prepare for the 190,000 units at nuclear facilities, and to prepare and even extend the requirements for using centrifuges.

    Khamenei seems to be real shotgun, but with care in the words he chose and his clear indications that we are moving “within the framework” of the Iran deal, it was his second shot with blank cartridge bullet in that speech.

    In that speech, Khamenei immediately added and emphasized, fearing that he would be denied this as a violation of Iran deal.

    “Of course within the framework of Iran deal!”

    But the problem is that, even if the regime so chooses, it will not actually be able to resume enrichment in the dimensions before the Iran deal, as the mullahs destroyed their centrifuges at the beginning of the deal, and if they were to be repaired tomorrow It takes many years to reach the previous level, regardless of whether their own confessions are possible. Therefore, Khamenei’s words in this section were merely a shamrock of the internal use, and for giving morale to his frightened and defeated forces, and nothing more than a blank cartridge bullet firing!

    Maneuver with missile power and regional hegemony!

    Khamenei’s third point was about the regime’s missile power, which said:

    “We shoot 10 missiles against each missile that fires us!”

    As you can see, Khamenei, in the words about the missile, only wants to say the word “missile” and repeat it, not saying that he has not mentioned anything. But in this statement, there is no reference to the type of missile! Because the fights are basically long-range ballistic missiles, not every missile! Khamenei also tried to make a gesture of power and not more!

    Khamenei said:

    “Anyone who fires us a missile, we …”! he didn’t say, where? and who or witch country or the president! wants to fire missile to its regime?

    But with all this, and again in the same hollow gesture of power, it was recalled that it would not be possible for the same hollow speech to cause trouble, because he immediately pointed out that:

    “We do not take excitement and sentiment in the face of the violence of enemies, we do not care about the margins we create for us, and we will not enter the margins!”

    Every observer and every listener, hearing these words, quickly find out how much Khamenei is watching and strives to not speak the excuse! Give the opponent a hand!

    Khamenei spoke only about the regional gestures and spelled out words such as justice and defense of the Palestinian people and resistance, and what he did about Syria and Yemen and what he wanted to do. He did not say anything! While in these areas it’s is talking about the retreat of the regime. Khomeini tried to be somehow innocent! Show off and so, here, too, shot an else blank cartridge bullet!

     Khamenei’s only war bullet firing

     Khamenei, in course of this speech and after all his firing, launched a war warning on the mullahs regime’s president, Rouhani and launched a new round of gang battles and factional wars, blaming all his atomic failures on the head of the Rouhani. And implicitly blamed him as “only the culprit ” in Iran deal.

    The reason for this is also quite clear. Khamenei must find someone who is responsible for the failure of Iran deal and more than $ 100 billion in costs and its consequences in the region.

    But what is clear is that, of course, Rouhani and his gang will not remain silent, they will not leave Khamenei and his gang, and they will throw themselves under the water!

     

     

    But why did Khamenei do that? While he knows well, deepening the gap at the head of his rule will have serious social consequences!

    The answer is clear, Khamenei is well aware that he cannot do anything but he forced to shot again because of all the disasters he has made, and in any case, he must shoot somewhere and someone! Cheaper than Rouhani?! Unaware of the fact that this policy is more dangerous than any alternative due to the internal situation, and will increase the dichotomy at the top of the rule, and a more open field for popular movements in these gaps will be created!

    The fact that right up to now it is turned on and will become even clearer.

     

     

     

    Advertisements
     
  • Masoud Dalvand 10:20 am on 15 May 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , Iran Deal, , , ,   

    The gap from top to bottom in the clerical regime of Iran 

    The gap from top to bottom in the clerical regime of Iran

    By Masoud Dalvand

    The blow of US’s withdrawal from Iran Deal and its reflections within the regime is rising every day and worsens the battles of the gangs. One of the latest examples is the conflict between the Assembly of Experts(Khobregan) and the gang of regime’s president Mullah Rouhani Because of Iran Deal and the continuation of this event.

    In this regard, on May 13, a statement was issued by the Assembly of Experts against the Rouhani and in the direction of Khamenei‘s acquittal and blaming on the Iran Deal’s disgrace and called for a Rouhani apology from the people: “It is imperative that the honorable President, honestly and explicitly, apologize to the dear people of Iran for the damage caused by the failure of ” Iran deal” for lack of comply with the red lines drawn by the Supreme Leader of the Revolution and put the experience of “Iran deal” as a light on the way of future.»

    But still -according to a proverb- the ink of this statement not dried, the authenticity of the statement was questioned by a number of members of the Assembly of Experts, and this was denounced. Among the experts, including Mullah Hashem Zadeh Harrisi, stated that “This statement is not all the Experts. The request to apologize the president for the “Iran deal” is not the opinion of the Assembly of Experts … The society is feverish … these events only cause discomfort and despair of the people … ”

    Mullah Moghtadaei was another member of the Assembly of Experts, who stated: “The opposition of Rouhani’s state inside the country, in the current situation, should not be as happy as Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu has.”

    Another expert, Mullah Abtahi, also said that the statement of the experts was not the opinion of all the members and that if I knew I would not sign the statement. And finally there were other people involved in the fight.

    Is this war and fights a continuation of the conflicts and controversies that have always been in the regime, or a new phenomenon and its own characteristics? with a little thinking about these conflicts, we see they are continuation of the same contradictions, but to another credit, we face a new quality of accumulation and congestion and the evolution of those contradictions. Why so:

    First of all, we see now that war and conflict are at the top and the highest point of the regime’s power pyramid.

    Secondly, all organs and institutions of the regime from the parliament to the Assembly of Experts and to the Revolutionary Guards, the government, the judiciary, and so on have involved.

    Thirdly, we also see the gap in these institutions. For example, in the parliament we are witnessing the clash of representatives of the two gangs. Or, in the Assembly of Experts, it was not until now that the experts took a position and made a statement, and some of its members would take a stand and speak against it.

    We see these gaps in the Rouhani’s gang and even within the state. For example, Rouhani’s adviser criticizes to his government minister, or the media criticize it from various positions.

    Is this conflict between the Experts and the government and within the limits of these two institutions above the regime? And why do we call it a fight and a gap at the head of the regime?!

    No! When we say that the struggle at the top of the regime, the war is at the point of Khamenei, which said on Wednesday (May 2, 2018): I said if you want to get the contract, take the necessary guarantees and then close them. One of the conditions I said was that the US president should sign. The respectable officials worked hard and, well, they could not. And then he added: “I do not trust these three countries (European Troika) … If you could make sure that it’s okay, of course I’m unlikely to know. If you cannot get a definitive guarantee, you will not be able to continue.

    This led to various statements in the media by Rouhani’s gang, including in the May 13 meeting, the parliament they chanted Khamenei whose accomplishment “Iran deal”, from the first to the last, was led by Khamenei and was signed. Then the Khamenei’s propagandists said that, they forced Khamenei to made such orders, but Rouhani’s government did not listen to Khamenei’s advices.

    Meanwhile, the government of Rouhani did not keep silent and issued a statement of eight articles entitled “Those who have smashed, now have been creditors instead of apologizing, do not contradict “, replied to the statement of the Assembly of Experts, denounced their position and, in addition to emphasizing Khamenei’s role, was raised. Tell us what to do, tell us what to do if we did not sign, and if we do not do it now, what to do.

    Part of this statement reads:

    “Unfortunately, those who have to apologize for their misplaced positions in the past are creditor for national achievements and are not willing to answer the question of how damaging the outrageous sanctions on the Iranian nation have been and what they have done to prevent them from timely prevention. They are never ready to speak of their inability to provide alternative ways of “Iran deal” and to apologize to the nation for their misleading approach to progress in the country. In an obvious contradiction they were worried about America’s presence in “Iran deal” and the other hand they have been as plaintiff of US’s withdrawal of Iran deal.

    In addition to the government itself, supporters of the government and other members of the Rouhani’s gang attacked the Assembly Experts. Including:

    Ali Motahhari‘s reaction to Ahmad Jannati’s letter about “Iran deal” was:

    Do you determine the religious duty of the diplomatic system or your supreme leader?

    Interestingly, the parties to the dispute, despite the fact that they are aware of the danger of the situation and read the unity’s weep of one another, cannot even temporarily establish cease-fire between themselves.

    The reason is that the fuel of this war is a dangerous situation and the prospect of the overthrow of this regime. But they are not able to stop it. Because in the current situation is not the field for compromise, the crisis bedside, in itself, promotes war, but it is important that the ruling gangs with this conflict constantly weak each other and the whole regime and pave the way for the overthrow of the religious dictatorship by the people’s uprising led by the Iranian resistance. This is the logic of history and they do not escape it.

     
  • Masoud Dalvand 7:40 am on 9 May 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Iran Deal, , ,   

    Maryam Rajavi: Eradicating The Clerical Regime’s Nuclear And Terrorism Threats Means Getting Rid Of The Regime In Its Entirety 

    Maryam Rajavi: Democratic change and an end to the Iran Regime

    Democratic change and an end to the religious fascism ruling Iran is a requisite for regional peace, democracy, security, and stability

    After several decades of appeasing the religious fascism ruling Iran and victimizing the Iranian people and Resistance, and simultaneous with the U.S. withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal (the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action – JCPOA), the President of the United States declared that the lavish payments to the clerical regime by the previous U.S. administration had been disastrous, adding that the sinister regime ruling Iran, the leading state sponsor of terror in the world today, “has funded its long reign of chaos and terror by plundering the wealth of its own people.”

    Speaking on behalf of the Iranian Resistance, which first revealed the Iranian regime’s secret nuclear program and facilities and has been the flag bearer of a non-nuclear Iran, Mrs. Maryam Rajavi, the President-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, said, “Eradicating the clerical regime’s nuclear and terrorism threats means getting rid of the regime in its entirety. A regime based on the principle of velayat-e faqih (absolute rule of the clergy) cannot exist without terrorism, suppression, and weapons of mass destruction.”

    “As in the past, any future investment in this regime is doomed to failure. As the Iranian Resistance has persistently declared, standing with the criminal mullahs, and empowering those responsible for, and the perpetrators of, the massacre of the Iranian people’s valiant children, will only embolden the religious fascists’ warmongering, export of fundamentalism and terrorism,” she emphasized.

    Mrs. Rajavi added, “As the nationwide uprising in December and January demonstrated, the Iranian people want to be liberated from religious oppression and despotism. Democratic change in Iran is inevitable and a free Iran is within reach. The end of religious dictatorship in Iran is a requisite for regional peace, democracy, security, and stability. This is the only way to end war and crisis in the region and avert a larger war.”

    “The United Nations Security Council must take up and refer to an international tribunal the dossier on the leaders of the Iranian regime’s terrorism and countless crimes against the Iranian people, especially the massacre of political prisoners,” she underscored.

    Secretariat of the National Council of Resistance of Iran
    May 8, 2018

     
  • Masoud Dalvand 9:24 am on 8 May 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Iran Deal, , , , ,   

    Editorial: A Way Out Of The JCPOA Crisis 

    The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action

    One of the most important international issues in recent weeks is the pending decision by the US President on whether to remain or withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal known as the JCPOA. During their visits to the White House, France’s President and Germany’s Chancellor pressed President Trump not to withdraw as he has hinted he would do.

    In the run up to the May 12 deadline for President Trump to make his decision, the fate of the Iran deal continues to dominate the agenda. However, there is a way out of this crisis. But it depends on whether Western leaders are prepared to consider it or if they would rather continue to ignore the facts like in the past and disregard potential solutions?

    There are two opposing views. Both sides say they seek security and the most effective way to prevent the Iranian regime from obtaining nuclear weapons.

    The Europeans claim that, despite its flaws, the JCPOA has to date halted the regime’s nuclear program and a degree of international monitoring is in place. They believe that there is no other viable option. If this is indeed Europe’s position, one could say that there is general consensus that there are many flaws in the JCPOA and if there are any other viable alternatives to prevent the regime from acquiring nuclear weapons they must certainly be pursued. To this end, President Macron went as far as suggesting a new proposal to remove the expiration dates of key provisions of the JCPOA and add to it plans to counter the regime’s missile program and destructive meddling in other countries. The prevailing truth is the fact that so far the regime has shown no sign of intent to abandon its destructive policies on these issues.

    On the other hand, critics of the JCPOA underline two points: Firstly, their emphasis is on the deal’s flaws which even the Europeans acknowledge. Secondly, they point to the regime’s worrisome behaviour in the period after the JCPOA took effect in areas such as its missile program and increased meddling in the region, which, interestingly, is also acknowledged by the Europeans. But, to overcome these common concerns they end up with a different conclusion; one that rejects the JCPOA. They reason that, given that the regime cannot be trusted, the JCPOA with these flaws would not prevent the regime from obtaining a nuclear bomb. In view of the North Korean experience in 1990s this is not too farfetched an argument. This is especially true in light of the fact that the Iranian regime’s initial goal for starting a nuclear program was to build a bomb and that all indications were that contrary to Hassan Rouhani’s claim at the time when he headed Tehran’s nuclear negotiating team, they were not stopped in 2003. Rouhani admitted later in his memoires that he had deceived the West when he was the chief negotiator.

    Following the adoption of the JCPOA, the Iranian Resistance announced that as far as the Iranian regime was concerned, its decision to accept the terms of the deal were tantamount to a retreat, imposed on it. The regime wanted the bomb as soon as possible without any hitch but the growing pressures of sanctions and fear of a possible uprising forced the regime to give in.

    At the time, Mrs Maryam Rajavi, President-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, said, “Circumventing the six UN Security Council resolutions and coming up with an unsigned agreement that is not internationally bounding as a treaty would neither block the mullahs’ path to deception nor their access to the nuclear bomb.”

    “Had the P5+1 been more decisive, the Iranian regime would have had no way but to fully retreat and permanently give up its efforts to acquire the nuclear bomb. Specifically, it would have halted all uranium enrichment and shut down its bomb-making projects.”

    “The P5+1 should now insist on evicting the regime from the Middle East and prevent its interferences in the region. This is a fundamental principle that needs to be included in any agreement, otherwise any country in this tumultuous region would have the right to demand all the concessions given to the clerical regime. This would only result in further catastrophic escalation of the nuclear arms race in this part of the world.”

    “Another important point is the United Nations’ strict monitoring of the cash poured into the regime’s pockets so that they would be spent on the Iranian people’s urgent needs, especially to pay for the unpaid meager salaries of workers, teachers and nurses and provision of food and medicine for the population. Otherwise, Khamenei, within the framework of the policy of export of terrorism and fundamentalism, would continue sending the money to Iraq, Syria, Yemen and Lebanon and before all, fill the pockets of the IRGC (the Iranian Regime’s Revolutionary Guards Corps) forces.”

    Mrs. Rajavi further stressed, “Indeed, any agreement that does not observe and consider the Iranian people’s human rights would only embolden the regime in its relentless suppression and executions and trample the nation’s rights, the Universal Declaration of Human Rights and the United Nations Charter.”

    The righteousness of the Iranian Resistance’s position has now been proven after almost three years. The mullahs’ nuclear program must be abolished in its entirety. This should have been done many years ago.

    After three years, the regime’s behavior has gotten worse in all areas. This is reflected before anything in the suppression of the Iranian people. The Western governments’ silence regarding the widespread protests in Iran is shameful. At least 15 of those detained during the protests which began at the turn of the year have been tortured to death but the West continues to remain silent. This can only be explained within the context of greed for some trade contracts.

    All advocates of the policy of appeasing the regime are responsible for the current crisis and its consequences, whatever the outcome may be. Those who were competing against one another for more share of contracts with the regime, indeed with the IRGC, while closing their eyes to the suppression of the Iranian people and the regime’s destructive policies in the region, must be held to account for their role in the present crisis.

    It is now time to pay heed to the Iranian people’s demands. The people have shown in their protests that they want the regime to go. The international community must stand by the Iranian people and their Resistance. It is now time to put talk aside and take action. The benchmarks are clear.

    Mrs. Rajavi in a message to the convention of Iranian-Americans in Washington on May 5 said, “The experience of the past three years has confirmed that the mullahs took advantage of the concessions in the JCPOA to suppress the people of Iran and massacre the people of Syria. As such, we emphatically demand that Western countries adopt a policy that would eliminate the entire infrastructure of the regime’s nuclear program and, through unconditional inspections, prevent, once and for all, the regime from engaging in any nuclear-related activity, testing or research, including enrichment. Dismantling the regime’s nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs, expelling the Revolutionary Guards from other countries in the region, and compelling the regime to stop torture and execution should be addressed in a holistic approach. Western countries must not ignore any of these aspects.”

    In order to secure the achievement of all these demands, the most stringent financial sanctions must be adopted immediately and the regime’s ties with international systems must be cut off. The regime is far too weak to stand against the will of the international community. Regrettably though, so far, it has not seen the necessary resolve on the part of the international community.

     
  • Masoud Dalvand 8:27 pm on 7 May 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , Iran Deal, ,   

    Iran exiles demand regime change as nuclear deadline looms 

    Iran Commentary

    The international community is literally hanging in the balance over the upcoming May 12th Iran nuclear deal deadline. Advocates of the accord, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), continue to claim anything but the deal will lead to a new war in the Middle East.

    The Iranian people, however, represented by thousands of exiles taking part in Saturday’s “Iran Freedom Convention” in Washington, DC, voiced their demand for regime change in their home country. Their call is coupled with significant support provided by a long slate of American dignitaries and elite Members of Congress.

    This is the beginning of even more turbulent weeks and months for the Iranian regime.

    Strong voices

    The event was hosted by the Organization of Iranian-American Communities, a group supportive of the 2017-2018 protests and advocating regime change to realize freedom and democracy in Iran.

    “The people of Iran are calling on…

    View original post 761 more words

     
  • Masoud Dalvand 7:58 pm on 25 Apr 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , Iran Deal, , , ,   

    Iran Desperate for US to Keep Nuclear Deal 

    Iran Nuclear Deal

     Radio America Online News Bureau April 24th, 2018 – President Trump’s instinct is to scrap the Iran nuclear deal while French President Emmanuel Macron is willing to amend it but not rescind it without another plan in place, but a leading figure in the Iranian resistance says the deal doesn’t stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons but does help the radical mullahs stay in power.

    President Trump has until May 12 to declare whether Iran is in compliance with the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA and whether the U.S. will remain a party to the seven-nation agreement.

     

    Alireza JafarzadehA_Jafarzadeh

    deputy director of the National Council of Resistance of Iran, says despite Tehran’s bluster about exiting the deal if the U.S. does, the Iranian leaders badly need the agreement to continue.

    “There’s no way the Iranian regime wants to lose this agreement.  They want to do everything possible to keep it because the regime knows that absent this agreement, there’s really not too many other options left for them,” said Jafarzadeh, who says threats to the contrary are nothing but “hot air.”.

    He says that’s because internal unrest is reaching a boiling point.

    “The regime is facing tremendous problems domestically, particularly on the economic side of it.  We’ve seen the uprising going on since December that was built around the economic corruption in Iran and the high rise in prices for very basic food.  Inflation is so high.  Inflation is skyrocketing,” said Jafarzadeh.

    Iran is clamping down on media outlets and social media, so reports of the ongoing protests are hard to find, but Jafarzadeh says they are still going strong and are appearing in many different parts of the country.

    “The protests are continuing ever since they started.  It expanded to 142 cities starting back in December,” said Jafarzadeh, listing off a number of cities seeing major protests in the past several days.

    “Every week there is a new hot spot in Iran.  People are chanting with the same intensity against the regime, making significant demands, none of which the regime can really meet,” said Jafarzadeh.

    He says some chants even explicitly scold the government for blaming its problems on America and stating that only the Iranian regime is to blame.

    Keeping the deal in place is critical for the Iranian leaders because the money that flowed back into Iran from the agreement has been trumpeted as the solution to Iran’s economic problems.

    However, even that good fortune could soon backfire on Iran’s leadership.

    “Once the people realize that all the money that was given to the Iranian regime ended up in the pocket of the mullahs, the ayatollahs, and the Revolutionary Guard.  It was basically the military structure and the clerical structure that benefited from that.

    “Imagine if there’s more pressure built against the regime what kind of political problems it’s going to create for the Iranian regime,” said Jafarzadeh.

    The more pertinent issue for Trump, Macron, and other world leaders is whether the JCPOA is actually preventing the advancement of Iran’s nuclear program.  Jafarzadeh is convinced it doesn’t.

    “The agreement has kept almost all of the nuclear infrastructure of the Iranian regime intact.  It has allowed the research and development of more advanced centrifuges that could actually enrich uranium much faster and more efficiently further down the road.

    “It hasn’t put any meaningful restrictions on the missile program of the Iranian regime, which is really marching forward with more missile tests on nuclear-capable ballistic missiles.  And it has this ridiculous sunset clause.  In a few years, all those restrictions on the nuclear program are removed,” said Jafarzadeh.

    And he says the hurdles to inspections make enforcement of the existing deal virtually impossible.

    “Most importantly, there’s no serious access and inspection of a number of nuclear sites where the core of the nuclear program of Iran is.  It’s not just the enrichment but the weaponization part of the program.  We exposed at least six nuclear sites we believe need to be inspected,” said Jafarzadeh.

    He says the bottom line is the JCPOA doesn’t stop Iran from getting nukes.

    “As of now, the current restrictions are not sufficient enough to prevent the Iranian regime from developing nuclear weapons further down the road,” said Jafarzadeh.

     

     

     

     
  • Masoud Dalvand 9:31 pm on 22 Apr 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , Iran Deal, , ,   

    How Syria Attack Affects Iran Nuclear Deal Crisis 

     

    As President Trump’s 120-day deadline for fixing Iran nuclear deal gets closer, European countries are focusing on Iranian regime’s missile program and its regional intervention, calling on the regime to stop both.

    Meanwhile, the missile attack by US, France and UK on Bashar Assad’s chemical weapons facilities in Syria has extremely scared Iranian regime officials.

    “Considering its behavior towards the nuclear deal and Syria, how does the United States expect Iran to negotiate over its missile program?” says head of regime’s Judiciary ‘Sadegh Larijani’, adding “they’re putting forward missile negotiations in such an environment. They should be asked: how do you expect Muslim countries to trust you? Considering your approach towards the nuclear deal and your recent criminal attack on Syria, do you really expect to have negotiations with Iran?’ ” (State-run Fars news agency, April 16, 2018)

    In an article titled “tomorrow’s world is the world of missiles, not dialogues”, state-run Kayhan newspaper points to possible negotiations with the West and acknowledges that the recent missile attack on Syria has been aimed at giving a warning to Iran, writing “maybe the most important point hidden in recent missile-throws has been the message the attackers intended to send to Iran. If we agree that the main purpose of the United States and its flunkies’ clear aggression on Syria was to threaten Iran and its allies and also accept the very obvious fact that we’re living in ‘the law of the jungle’ era in which the world’s bullying countries don’t even respect their own-legislated rules, then is it wise to encourage a second JCPOA-like deal and negotiate over our military and missile capabilities with countries that happen to be the same three that were involved in attacking Syria?” (State-run Kayhan newspaper April 16, 2018)

    Regime’s former diplomat Soleiman Afshar meanwhile believes that the recent missile attack on Bashar Assad’s chemical weapons sites by three western countries was aimed at ‘continuing pressure on Iran and Hezbollah through bargaining with Russia and causing a rift among Iran, Turkey and Russia.”

    Pointing to United States’ 120-day deadline being over on May 12, Afshar predicts that Trump “will either leave the nuclear deal or win concessions from Iran through Europe and stay.”

    Afshar refers to both alternatives as pieces of a ‘US pressure puzzle’, saying “more regional and international pieces of the puzzle will be revealed in the future.” (State-run Iranian Diplomacy, April 16, 2018)

    Also in this regard, state-run Aftab-e-Yazd newspaper on April 16, 2018, writes “the coming month of May will be a decisive one as the US president makes a decision on the fate of Iran nuclear deal and will also have a possible meeting with North Korean leader. It’s quite possible that Trump’s strategic decisions next month will effectively change the situation. Under such circumstances, it seems that adopting a tougher stance against Iran and the nuclear deal is going to bring him some success.”

    Such comments by regime officials and media, however, point to a bigger reality. The reality of regime’s growing weakness and inability, and that it has no defensive tool to deal with the extremely dangerous situation it’s caught in.

    Being defenseless against outside pressures is while the regime is also faced with people’s increasing protests at home, protests that can’t be shielded from, either, since the regime has learned from experience that its ‘oppression blade’ could no longer stop the protests from rising.

    Fearing the situation, Revolutionary Guards’ Commander ‘Mohammad-Ali Jafari’ said on April 16, 2018, “we’re going through an extremely crucial stage of the revolution, with all enemies joining hands to create an environment of disappointment.”

    “In addition to problems coming from outside, there are also domestic issues that should be resolved” added Jafari, somehow pointing to the escalation of regime’s international and domestic crises and the effects they have on one another.

     
  • Masoud Dalvand 6:12 pm on 4 Apr 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , Iran Deal, , , ,   

    Iran: Consequences Of US Pulling Out Of Nuclear Deal 

    Iran’s Bushehr nuclear plant

    With the announcement of a new Secretary of State and a new national security adviser, many have said that the odds of President Donald Trump pulling out of the 2015 Iran nuclear agreement have increased.

    Furthermore, it seems very unlikely that the European parties to the deal – the United Kingdom, France and Germany – will be able to guarantee and address the changes that Trump requested.

    For one, the three European countries submitted a proposal to sanction Iran for its ballistic missile activities and its belligerence and interference in Syria. However, the proposal must get unanimous approval and there are already several countries that have expressed opposition, including Spain, Austria and Italy. Italy said that it was very concerned about its interests worth millions of dollars being put into jeopardy.

    Of course no-one can predict how Iran will react if Trump did announce that he was no longer going to waiver sanctions, however it can be safely presumed that the news will not go down well. Some have even said that Iran will immediately start carrying out illicit nuclear activities. The Iranian regime has previously tried to provoke Trump with acts of defiance.

    The regime could reinstall some of its centrifuges that have been out of use for months and it could continue to fine-tune other ones. It could also start to stockpile uranium instead of shipping it abroad or it could enrich it to 20 per cent.

    Some believe that there will be a race to the nuclear bomb. Others say that this is not possible – no matter how much the Iranian regime wants to.

    According to Reuel Gerecht, a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, and Ray Takeyh, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, the main obstacle is the unfinished work on advanced centrifuges.

    Ali Akbar Salehi, the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI), is an Iranian diplomat and academic who is probably behind Iran’s large-scale illicit dual-use import network. He has the support of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and, when President Hassan Rouhani became the president in 2013, he was able to make great progress on the country’s atomic infrastructure.

    Gerecht and Takeyh say that it would take years for the Iranian regime to reinstall the high-yield centrifuges. Furthermore, they are currently under surveillance by the nuclear watchdog that is in charge of monitoring Iran’s compliance with the nuclear deal – the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). If Iran were to reinstall the centrifuges, it would not go unnoticed and there is a high likelihood that military strikes from the US would shortly follow.

    It has also been posited that the Iranian regime will not be quick to take any overly-drastic action if Trump announces a US pull-out of the agreement because it is nervous of the US administration. Especially now that new appointments have been made and the deal-sympathizers have gone.

    The United States is making it very clear that the “golden years” of appeasement are over and one can only hope that one day soon, the Europeans will follow.

     
  • Masoud Dalvand 6:13 pm on 1 Apr 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: , Iran Deal, , , ,   

    Analysis: The isolation ring become tighter around the Mullahs regime 

    The isolation ring become tighter around the Mullahs regime

    The news and developments of these days indicate the tightening of the isolation ring of the Mullahs regime in the international arena.

    While the regime was hoping to Europe for escape the fate of US deadline on nuclear deal, Europe was on the path to aligning America’s policy with a voluntary response to Donald Trump’s call for coordination in six areas to force the regime moves to change.

    In this case, state media from both gangs of regime in Iran almost every day write about talks between US and EU about Iran Deal and expanding to other deals in relation of missile projects and Iran meddling in the region.

    Meanwhile on March 29, France’s Radio quoted by the Foreign Minister, Jean-Yves Ludrian, accused Iran of supplying weapons to Yemen’s Houthi militia. This position took place following the firing of seven Houthi rockets to Saudi Arabia, and displayed pieces of these missiles by Saudi officials.

    • Wednesday, March 28, “Reuters” wrote quoted by diplomatic sources that representatives of EU member states at a meeting have discussed new missile sanctions against Iran. So the report, EU members are trying to finalize these sanctions until the April 16 meeting of the Foreign Ministers of the Union. Meanwhile, the representative of Italy at the Brussels meeting announced that such sanctions are not enough to persuade Tramp to stay in Iran Deal. Italy and one other two countries believe that in order to persuade Tramp, they must apply more severe sanctions against the regime!

    Well, such news is still on the rise. The first question to start the discussion is what do we think about these news and events, and what are the reasons for this?

    As reported in the introduction to the article, these reports indicate a tightening of the isolation ring of the regime. The change and developments in the US foreign policy team, which is clearly indicative of a sharpening of US policy toward Iran, shows the same. Many diplomatic trips and diplomatic visits are taking place in these days. Including the visit of the Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia to the United States, which, according to political observers, is the main theme of his apparent confrontation with the Mullahs regime and threats to the security of the region by the regime.

    The news, which is, of course, only part of the mass of developments available, continues to be added. On the contrary, the regime has begun a series of measures in its foreign relations. Rouhani‘s visit to Central Asia and efforts to strengthen economic relations with the northern neighbors, the visit of Kamal Kharrazi to Pakistan, the Zarif visit to the Balkans and the trip of the Foreign Minister of Oman to Iran are another aspect of this boiling space of foreign policy.

    There are other developments that are bad for the regime, like North Korea’s recent stance, which seems to want a deal with the United States and the West, which means that the United States and the international community are concentrating more on the regime.

    It is easy to see that as soon as we reach the end of the deadline of the United States (May 12th), these developments are accelerating, and the isolation ring gets tighter over the regime. The Mullahs regime has counted Europe on the issue of nuclear deal against the US government, but is clearly EU is beside of US, and it is itself setting up and adopting new sanctions against the regime, independent of the United States. The goal is to push the regime to stop its missile and terrorist interference in the region and withdraw its forces from Syria and …. By that time, the pressure on the regime will increase, the sanctions will increase, and everyone in this direction will tell the regime that there is no other way than to drink poisonous cups for a missile and a regional project and of course, the Human Rights poisonous cup will also be coming after that.

    The regime is also trying with all its power to refrain from drinking these poisonous cups. Because, according to Khamenei’s own words, this process is endless and ultimately leads to the negation of the regime of Velayat-e faqih. So we see that missile strikes continue to lead Saudi Arabia, which, of course, has different interpretations; an interpretation is that these gestures of demonstrative power indicate the regime’s decision to stand against the pressures of international community, and another interpretation of this is smoke and camouflage for a retreat. Because at the same time, we see a Zarif and Rouhani plea for negotiating with Saudi Arabia.

    However, there are two more ways ahead of the regime, and the regime has no other option. Either surrender and missile, regional interference, or stand up to the international community and accept its deadly consequences.

    Which is difficult to say which one is the most dangerous and deadly for the regime. It is important that the other regime, such as the nuclear deal, cannot make decisions and choices, and should be assigned in the coming days.

     
    • wizzymedpower 1:48 am on 2 Apr 2018 Permalink

      thanks Dalvand for your update from Iran… Our prayer is that the Nation of Iran shall experience freedom as the scripture says: “For the earth shall be filled with the knowledge of the glory of the LORD, as the waters cover the sea” The Iranians nation shall be cover with the knowledge of God in Jesus Name.. Amen

      Liked by 1 person

    • Masoud Dalvand 7:30 am on 2 Apr 2018 Permalink

      Amen, and thank you so much dear Israel.

      Liked by 1 person

  • Masoud Dalvand 11:14 am on 16 Mar 2018 Permalink | Reply
    Tags: Iran Deal, , Tillerson,   

    Tillerson’s Exit Could Doom the Iran Nuclear Deal 

    Outgoing U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson making a statement on his departure at the State Department in Washington, D.C. on March 13.

    Outgoing U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson making a statement on his departure at the State Department in Washington, D.C. on March 13.

    Foreign Policy, MARCH 15, 2018 – President Donald Trump’s sacking of his top diplomat, Rex Tillerson, signals America’s likely withdrawal from the Iran nuclear agreement, and raises the risk of a possible military confrontation with the regime in Tehran.
    The future of the Iran deal was already in serious doubt after Trump issued an ultimatum in January, warning he would pull the United States out of the accord unless European allies or Congress managed to “fix the deal’s disastrous
    But by picking CIA Director Mike Pompeo, an avowed Iran hawk, to succeed Tillerson as secretary of state, Trump sent a clear message that Washington was hardening its stance as a May 12 deadline approaches for the possible reimposition of U.S. sanctions.
    Talking to reporters Tuesday about his decision, Trump cited his disagreement with Tillerson over the Iran nuclear agreement as an example of how the outgoing secretary of state had “a different mindset” than his own.
    “When you look at the Iran deal, I think it’s terrible. I guess he thought it was okay…. So we were not really thinking the same,” Trump said before departing for California.
    In recent weeks, Tillerson’s deputies have worked to hammer out an arrangement with European allies that could preserve the deal while addressing Trump’s concerns about its shortcomings, including Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal and provisions that expire in the next decade and beyond.
    “I think it spells trouble for the nuclear deal,” said Colin Kahl, who served as the national security advisor to former Vice President Joe Biden.
    While Tillerson often found himself on the losing side of many issues at the White House, he was a voice of caution and “he did appear to have some impact in delaying Trump dumping the Iran deal,” Kahl said.
    The next round of talks among the United States and diplomats from the United Kingdom, France, and Germany aimed at salvaging the agreement is due to go ahead as planned in Berlin this week, officials say. And a meeting of all the signatories to the Iran deal, which includes the U.K., France, Germany, Russia, China, Iran, and the United States, is scheduled for Friday in Vienna.
    Despite Trump’s abrupt firing of Tillerson, the outgoing secretary of state’s top aide, Brian Hook, will attend the meetings in Europe, a State Department spokesperson said. Hook was an influential figure on Tillerson’s staff and it’s unlikely he will stay on under Pompeo.
    The 2015 agreement between Iran and world powers, which former President Barack Obama touted as a diplomatic breakthrough, imposed elaborate restrictions on Iran’s nuclear program while lifting an array of U.S. and international sanctions that had damaged the country’s economy. In his 2016 presidential campaign, Trump railed against the agreement as the “worst deal ever,” saying Iran had won relief from sanctions without having to give up enough in return.
    As president, Trump bristled when faced with a U.S. law that required him to regularly certify to Congress whether Iran was complying with the deal and whether the agreement was in America’s interest. In October, Trump told Congress he could not certify that the agreement was in the national interest but stopped short of pulling the United States out.
    Over the past 14 months, Tillerson, along with Defense Secretary James Mattis, repeatedly argued in White House meetings against abandoning the agreement on grounds that it had imposed important limits on Tehran’s nuclear work. Instead, Tillerson proposed trying to address the president’s concerns by negotiating a supplemental agreement or other arrangement with the Europeans, while retaining the benefits of the current deal.
    Trump’s January ultimatum set May 12 as the next key deadline, when he will have to decide whether to re-impose a slew of U.S. sanctions that were lifted as part of the nuclear deal.

    Critics of the nuclear agreement welcomed Tillerson’s departure.

    “The selection of Mike Pompeo at State should remove any doubt about the president’s intentions,” said Mark Dubowitz, chief executive of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. “Two months to go and President Trump will snap back the most powerful economic sanctions against Iran unless there’s a real not a fictional fix to the Iran nuclear deal.”
    Omri Ceren, managing director of the Israel Project, a Washington organization that works on Middle East issues, said that with or without Tillerson’s exit, the president had made clear he would not keep sanctions relief in place without concrete improvements to the agreement.
    “In recent days the Trump administration has, if anything, been toughening its stance on what it would take to make the Iran deal worth staying in,” Ceren said.
    If Trump opts to reimpose U.S. sanctions on Iran after May 12, European Union officials have warned that Brussels might try to block the American measures and protect European companies investing in the Iranian market. But analysts said European banks and other firms are already reluctant to do business in Iran due to the threat of a possible “snap-back” of U.S. sanctions and don’t want to lose their access to the vast American market. A U.S. withdrawal could wreck the agreement, scaring off European investment that Iran saw as a key reward for agreeing to limit its uranium enrichment and other nuclear work.
    If the deal unravels and Iran concludes it has no economic incentive to hold back on its nuclear work, then Tehran could expel U.N. inspectors and head down a fast track to building nuclear weapons — possibly in a matter of months. Under that scenario, the United States — and Israel — may decide to take military action to prevent Iran from obtaining the bomb or at least slow down a bid for nuclear-tipped missiles.

    Source: Tillerson’s Exit Could Doom the Iran Nuclear Deal

     
c
Compose new post
j
Next post/Next comment
k
Previous post/Previous comment
r
Reply
e
Edit
o
Show/Hide comments
t
Go to top
l
Go to login
h
Show/Hide help
shift + esc
Cancel
%d bloggers like this: